BEST ACTOR IN A MINISERIES/TV MOVIE
Jeff Bridges, A Dog Year
Sir Ian McKellen, The Prisoner
Michael Sheen, The Special Relationship
Dennis Quaid, The Special Relationship
Al Pacino, You Don't Know Jack
This should be interesting. Sheen and Quaid will probably vote split. McKellen isn't really likely either, since his miniseries wasn't exactly a critical smash. And the only way I can see Bridges triumphing here is if he's still riding the wave of support from his Oscar win (and I highly doubt he is). Pacino's the easy favorite, I believe: its a meaty role (Jack Kevorkian), and they've honored him in this category before (for Angels in America).
BEST ACTRESS IN A MINISERIES/TV MOVIE
Maggie Smith, Capturing Mary
Joan Allen, Georgia O'Keeffe
Judi Dench, Return to Cranford
Hope Davis, The Special Relationship
Claire Danes, Temple Grandin
Allen was a Globe nominee, so there may be a little bit of support for her still. As much as I love Smith and Davis, I think they'll both be also-rans this year. Danes stunned everyone with her performance in Temple Grandin, and she's the odds-on favorite to win (which would somewhat make up for the My So-Called Life snub in the '90s). But don't count out Dench: she could easily be the spoiler here.