For the first time in a couple of years now, I entered Film Actually's annual Oscar prediction contest. So, taking a quick break from thesis writing, here is a rundown of my final predictions for each category. I don't have any commentary or pictures, but feel free to discuss these choices in the comments. And don't forget: the nominations will be announced this Tuesday, January 24!
BEST PICTURE
First five in:
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
La La Land
Hell or High Water
Arrival
Next five in (in order from most to least likely):
Lion
Fences
Hidden Figures
Silence
Hacksaw Ridge
BEST ACTRESS
Emma Stone, La La Land
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Amy Adams, Arrival
Ruth Negga, Loving
BEST ACTOR
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Denzel Washington, Fences
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Tom Hanks, Sully
The rest of the nominees after the jump.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Dev Patel, Lion
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
BEST DIRECTOR
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
David MacKenzie, Hell or High Water
Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Fences, screenplay by August Wilson
Lion, screenplay by Luke Davies
Moonlight, screenplay by Barry Jenkins
Nocturnal Animals, screenplay by Tom Ford
Arrival, screenplay by Eric Heisserer
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Manchester by the Sea, written by Kenneth Lonergan
La La Land, written by Damien Chazelle
20th Century Women, written by Mike Mills
Hell or High Water, written by Taylor Sheridan
Zootopia; screenplay by Jared Bush & Phil Johnston, story by Byron Howard, Rich Moore, Jared Bush, Jim Reardon, Josie Trinidad, Phil Johnston, and Jennifer Lee
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Zootopia
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
Kubo and the Two Strings
Your Name
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Arrival - Bradford Young
La La Land - Linus Sandgren
Nocturnal Animals - Seamus McGarvey
Lion - Greig Fraser
Live by Night - Robert Richardson
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Jackie - Madeline Fontaine
La La Land - Mary Zophres
Silence - Dante Ferretti
Florence Foster Jenkins - Consolata Boyle
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - Colleen Atwood
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
13th
O.J.: Made in America
Fire at Sea
Weiner
Zero Days
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
The White Helmets
Watani: My Homeland
Frame 394
Extremis
Brillo Box (3 cents Off)
BEST FILM EDITING
La La Land - Tom Cross
Hacksaw Ridge - John Gilbert
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - Jabez Olsson
Moonlight - Joi McMillon & Nat Sanders
Nocturnal Animals - Joan Sobel
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Toni Erdmann (Germany)
The Salesman (Iran)
Land of Mine (Denmark)
The King's Choice (Norway)
Paradise (Russia)
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Florence Foster Jenkins
A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
La La Land - Justin Hurwitz
Kubo and the Two Strings - Dario Marianelli
Nocturnal Animals - Abel Korzeniowski
Moonlight - Nicholas Britell
Lion - Dustin O'Halloran and Hauschka
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
La La Land - "City of Stars"
La La Land - "Audition (The Fools Who Dream)"
Moana - "How Far I'll Go"
Sing Street - "Drive It Like You Stole It"
The Eagle Huntress - "Angel by the Wings"
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
La La Land
Florence Foster Jenkins
The Handmaiden
Jackie
Arrival
BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
Piper
Inner Workings
Pearl
Sour Tes Doigts (Under Your Fingers)
Blind Vaysha
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM
Nocturne in Black
Bon Voyage
The Way of Tea (Les Frémissements du Thé)
La Femme et le GTV
Timecode
BEST SOUND EDITING
Hacksaw Ridge
Deepwater Horizon
Arrival
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Deadpool
BEST SOUND MIXING
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Arrival
Doctor Strange
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
The Jungle Book
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
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