Saturday, January 21, 2017

Quickie Final 2016 Oscar Predictions

For the first time in a couple of years now, I entered Film Actually's annual Oscar prediction contest. So, taking a quick break from thesis writing, here is a rundown of my final predictions for each category. I don't have any commentary or pictures, but feel free to discuss these choices in the comments. And don't forget: the nominations will be announced this Tuesday, January 24!

BEST PICTURE

First five in:

Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
La La Land
Hell or High Water
Arrival

Next five in (in order from most to least likely):

Lion
Fences
Hidden Figures
Silence
Hacksaw Ridge

BEST ACTRESS

Emma Stone, La La Land
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Amy Adams, Arrival
Ruth Negga, Loving

BEST ACTOR

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Denzel Washington, Fences
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Tom Hanks, Sully

The rest of the nominees after the jump.


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Dev Patel, Lion
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea

BEST DIRECTOR

Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
David MacKenzie, Hell or High Water
Denis Villeneuve, Arrival

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Fences, screenplay by August Wilson
Lion, screenplay by Luke Davies
Moonlight, screenplay by Barry Jenkins
Nocturnal Animals, screenplay by Tom Ford
Arrival, screenplay by Eric Heisserer

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Manchester by the Sea, written by Kenneth Lonergan
La La Land, written by Damien Chazelle
20th Century Women, written by Mike Mills
Hell or High Water, written by Taylor Sheridan
Zootopia; screenplay by Jared Bush & Phil Johnston, story by Byron Howard, Rich Moore, Jared Bush, Jim Reardon, Josie Trinidad, Phil Johnston, and Jennifer Lee

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Zootopia
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
Kubo and the Two Strings
Your Name

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Arrival - Bradford Young
La La Land - Linus Sandgren
Nocturnal Animals - Seamus McGarvey
Lion - Greig Fraser
Live by Night - Robert Richardson

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Jackie
- Madeline Fontaine
La La Land - Mary Zophres
Silence - Dante Ferretti
Florence Foster Jenkins - Consolata Boyle
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - Colleen Atwood

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

13th
O.J.: Made in America
Fire at Sea
Weiner
Zero Days

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

The White Helmets
Watani: My Homeland
Frame 394
Extremis
Brillo Box (3 cents Off)

BEST FILM EDITING

La La Land - Tom Cross
Hacksaw Ridge - John Gilbert
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - Jabez Olsson
Moonlight - Joi McMillon & Nat Sanders
Nocturnal Animals - Joan Sobel

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Toni Erdmann (Germany)
The Salesman (Iran)
Land of Mine (Denmark)
The King's Choice (Norway)
Paradise (Russia)

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Florence Foster Jenkins
A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

La La Land - Justin Hurwitz
Kubo and the Two Strings - Dario Marianelli
Nocturnal Animals - Abel Korzeniowski
Moonlight - Nicholas Britell
Lion - Dustin O'Halloran and Hauschka

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

La La Land - "City of Stars"
La La Land - "Audition (The Fools Who Dream)"
Moana - "How Far I'll Go"
Sing Street - "Drive It Like You Stole It"
The Eagle Huntress - "Angel by the Wings"

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

La La Land
Florence Foster Jenkins
The Handmaiden
Jackie
Arrival


BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

Piper
Inner Workings
Pearl
Sour Tes Doigts (Under Your Fingers)
Blind Vaysha

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM

Nocturne in Black
Bon Voyage
The Way of Tea (Les Frémissements du Thé)
La Femme et le GTV
Timecode

BEST SOUND EDITING

Hacksaw Ridge
Deepwater Horizon
Arrival
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Deadpool

BEST SOUND MIXING

Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Arrival
Deepwater Horizon

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Arrival
Doctor Strange
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
The Jungle Book
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

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